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Will it freeze in Kinston in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Kinston during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 66°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 66°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 53°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Kinston
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 26, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Kinston Ag Rsch. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 23 · Apr 5 · Apr 18 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 209 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 9 · Mar 25 · Apr 7 | Oct 29 · Nov 11 · Dec 2 | 232 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 13 · Mar 30 | Nov 6 · Nov 26 · Dec 22 | 258 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Kinston Ag Rsch
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Kinston, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Kinston Ag Rsch (station USC00314689, elevation 60 ft), 1.9 mi from Kinston. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Kinston
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayden, NC | 17 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| Winterville, NC | 21 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| Goldsboro, NC | 22 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 18 |
| Greenville, NC | 25 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| New Bern, NC | 32 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 15 |
| Washington, NC | 37 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 15 |
| Wilson, NC | 37 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 12 |
| Jacksonville, NC | 39 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 16 |
| Selma, NC | 43 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Tarboro, NC | 43 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Kinston?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Kinston is around March 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 9.
When is the first frost in Kinston?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 29 and a 90% chance by December 2.
Can it frost in Kinston after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 5.
What growing zone is Kinston?
Kinston is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28504. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · frost vs. freeze