Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Apex in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Apex during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 65°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 65°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Apex
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Apex. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 23 · Apr 7 · Apr 21 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 11 | 205 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 8 · Mar 27 · Apr 10 | Oct 26 · Nov 8 · Nov 24 | 227 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 24 · Mar 15 · Mar 31 | Nov 5 · Nov 21 · Dec 12 | 253 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Apex
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Apex, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Apex (station USC00310212, elevation 450 ft), 2.7 mi from Apex. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Apex
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cary, NC | 5.0 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| Holly Springs, NC | 5.6 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 3 |
| Morrisville, NC | 8.1 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 4 |
| Fuquay-Varina, NC | 9.9 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Garner, NC | 15 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Raleigh, NC | 16 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
| Pittsboro, NC | 16 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 7 |
| Chapel Hill, NC | 17 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Angier, NC | 17 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 6 |
| Durham, NC | 17 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Apex?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Apex is around March 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 8.
When is the first frost in Apex?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 26 and a 90% chance by November 24.
Can it frost in Apex after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 7.
What growing zone is Apex?
Apex is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 27502. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · UV index today in Apex · frost vs. freeze