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Will it freeze in Cameron in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 30°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Cameron
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cameron. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 13 · Apr 26 · May 7 | Sep 29 · Oct 14 · Oct 29 | 171 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 15 · Apr 29 | Oct 10 · Oct 24 · Nov 6 | 192 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 5 · Apr 19 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 19 | 211 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cameron
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Cameron, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cameron (station USC00231216, elevation 1,010 ft), 1.1 mi from Cameron. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Cameron
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kearney, MO | 28 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Excelsior Springs, MO | 28 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Smithville, MO | 30 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 20 |
| St. Joseph, MO | 31 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Savannah, MO | 34 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 19 |
| Richmond, MO | 35 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 18 |
| Liberty, MO | 36 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Chillicothe, MO | 37 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 21 |
| Gladstone, MO | 40 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Trenton, MO | 41 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 20 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Cameron?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Cameron is around April 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 29, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 3.
When is the first frost in Cameron?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 10 and a 90% chance by November 6.
Can it frost in Cameron after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 26.
What growing zone is Cameron?
Cameron is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 64429. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze