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Will it freeze in Red Wing in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 31°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 31°F. Freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 31°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 26°F Hard freeze · Areas Of Fog
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Red Wing
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Red Wing Dam 3. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 21 · May 4 · May 19 | Sep 20 · Oct 4 · Oct 18 | 152 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 23 · May 7 | Sep 28 · Oct 14 · Oct 28 | 173 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 1 · Apr 12 · Apr 28 | Oct 10 · Oct 25 · Nov 7 | 194 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Red Wing Dam 3
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Red Wing, MN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Red Wing Dam 3 (station USC00216822, elevation 677 ft), 2.1 mi from Red Wing. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Red Wing
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hastings, MN | 16 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 19 |
| Lake City, MN | 19 mi | May 7 | Oct 2 |
| River Falls, WI | 19 mi | May 11 | Oct 1 |
| Cottage Grove, MN | 22 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 19 |
| Rosemount, MN | 25 mi | May 2 | Oct 5 |
| St. Paul Park, MN | 26 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 16 |
| Hudson, WI | 27 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 19 |
| Woodbury, MN | 27 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 12 |
| Newport, MN | 28 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 16 |
| Inver Grove Heights, MN | 28 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 16 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Red Wing?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Red Wing is around April 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 8.
When is the first frost in Red Wing?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 28 and a 90% chance by October 28.
Can it frost in Red Wing after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Red Wing?
Red Wing is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 4b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −25 to −20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 54014. See growing zones in Minnesota.
More: all Minnesota frost dates · Minnesota growing zones · frost vs. freeze