Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Sturgis in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Sturgis
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lagrange. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 23 · May 6 · May 22 | Sep 25 · Oct 8 · Oct 23 | 154 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 26 · May 14 | Oct 5 · Oct 21 · Nov 2 | 176 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 16 · Apr 30 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 13 | 200 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lagrange
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Sturgis, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lagrange (station USC00124730, elevation 900 ft), 10 mi from Sturgis. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Sturgis
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers, MI | 15 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 17 |
| Angola, IN | 24 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 16 |
| Coldwater, MI | 24 mi | May 2 | Oct 13 |
| Kendallville, IN | 26 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 17 |
| Goshen, IN | 26 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 21 |
| Portage, MI | 29 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 18 |
| Elkhart, IN | 29 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 21 |
| Kalamazoo, MI | 34 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 18 |
| Garrett, IN | 34 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 17 |
| Auburn, IN | 35 mi | May 2 | Oct 10 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Sturgis?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Sturgis is around April 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Sturgis?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 5 and a 90% chance by November 2.
Can it frost in Sturgis after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 6.
What growing zone is Sturgis?
Sturgis is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 49091. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze