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Will it freeze in Alexandria in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Alexandria during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Alexandria
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Alexandria. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 21 · Mar 12 · Apr 2 | Oct 31 · Nov 14 · Dec 1 | 248 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 31 · Feb 27 · Mar 18 | Nov 7 · Nov 27 · Dec 19 | 274 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 6 · Feb 8 · Mar 8 | Nov 18 · Dec 13 · Jan 10 | 308 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Alexandria
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Alexandria, LA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Alexandria (station USC00160098, elevation 87 ft), 1.9 mi from Alexandria. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Alexandria
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pineville, LA | 5.0 mi | Feb 27 | Nov 27 |
| Oakdale, LA | 35 mi | Mar 3 | Nov 25 |
| Ville Platte, LA | 43 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 27 |
| Natchitoches, LA | 48 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 1 |
| Leesville, LA | 49 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 9 |
| Eunice, LA | 55 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 27 |
| DeRidder, LA | 58 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 25 |
| Opelousas, LA | 58 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 23 |
| Natchez, MS | 66 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 9 |
| Carencro, LA | 73 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Alexandria?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Alexandria is around February 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 31.
When is the first frost in Alexandria?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 7 and a 90% chance by December 19.
Can it frost in Alexandria after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 12.
What growing zone is Alexandria?
Alexandria is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 71301. See growing zones in Louisiana.
More: all Louisiana frost dates · Louisiana growing zones · UV index today in Alexandria · frost vs. freeze