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Will it freeze in Carlinville in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 27°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Drizzle then Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 29°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Carlinville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Carlinville. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 10 · Apr 25 · May 12 | Sep 25 · Oct 11 · Oct 23 | 166 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 14 · Apr 30 | Oct 5 · Oct 21 · Nov 1 | 188 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 2 · Apr 17 | Oct 18 · Nov 1 · Nov 15 | 212 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Carlinville
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Carlinville, IL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Carlinville (station USC00111280, elevation 621 ft), 0.8 mi from Carlinville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Carlinville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Litchfield, IL | 13 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Hillsboro, IL | 23 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Jerseyville, IL | 27 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 19 |
| Bethalto, IL | 27 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 5 |
| Chatham, IL | 29 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 22 |
| Godfrey, IL | 29 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 5 |
| Alton, IL | 30 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 5 |
| East Alton, IL | 30 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 5 |
| Wood River, IL | 30 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 5 |
| Edwardsville, IL | 34 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Carlinville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Carlinville is around April 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 30, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Carlinville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 5 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Carlinville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 25.
What growing zone is Carlinville?
Carlinville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 62626. See growing zones in Illinois.
More: all Illinois frost dates · Illinois growing zones · frost vs. freeze