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Will it freeze in Panama City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Panama City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 67°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 67°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 56°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 45°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Panama City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Panama City 5N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 9 · Mar 2 · Mar 24 | Nov 6 · Nov 25 · Dec 18 | 265 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 13 · Feb 15 · Mar 11 | Nov 16 · Dec 12 · Jan 12 | 301 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 30 · Jan 31 · Feb 28 | Dec 1 · Jan 1 · Feb 1 | 334 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Panama City 5N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Panama City, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Panama City 5N (station USC00086842, elevation 5 ft), 7.8 mi from Panama City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Panama City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lynn Haven, FL | 6.2 mi | Feb 15 | Dec 12 |
| Springfield, FL | 6.2 mi | Feb 7 | Dec 24 |
| Callaway, FL | 7.5 mi | Feb 7 | Dec 24 |
| Panama City Beach, FL | 21 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 1 |
| Freeport, FL | 40 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 28 |
| Marianna, FL | 42 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 27 |
| DeFuniak Springs, FL | 48 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 28 |
| Destin, FL | 57 mi | Feb 5 | Dec 28 |
| Niceville, FL | 60 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 19 |
| Quincy, FL | 61 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Panama City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Panama City is around February 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 13.
When is the first frost in Panama City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 16 and a 90% chance by January 12.
Can it frost in Panama City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 2.
What growing zone is Panama City?
Panama City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32404. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Panama City · frost vs. freeze