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Will it freeze in Niceville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Niceville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 64°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 64°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Niceville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Niceville. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 2 · Mar 27 · Apr 12 | Oct 25 · Nov 8 · Dec 1 | 227 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 14 · Mar 12 · Mar 31 | Nov 3 · Nov 19 · Dec 13 | 253 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 28 · Feb 25 · Mar 20 | Nov 13 · Dec 5 · Jan 9 | 286 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Niceville
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Niceville, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Niceville (station USC00086240, elevation 60 ft), 1.0 mi from Niceville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Niceville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Destin, FL | 8.7 mi | Feb 5 | Dec 28 |
| Fort Walton Beach, FL | 11 mi | Feb 5 | Dec 28 |
| Crestview, FL | 16 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 12 |
| Freeport, FL | 21 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 28 |
| DeFuniak Springs, FL | 24 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 28 |
| Milton, FL | 35 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 27 |
| Panama City Beach, FL | 41 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 1 |
| Gulf Breeze, FL | 43 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 9 |
| Pensacola, FL | 43 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 9 |
| Brewton, AL | 53 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 15 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Niceville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Niceville is around March 12. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 14.
When is the first frost in Niceville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 13.
Can it frost in Niceville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 27.
What growing zone is Niceville?
Niceville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32578. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze