Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Pensacola in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Pensacola during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 63°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 63°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 56°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Pensacola
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Pensacola Regional Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 8 · Mar 2 · Mar 21 | Nov 8 · Nov 25 · Dec 18 | 270 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 21 · Feb 14 · Mar 11 | Nov 17 · Dec 9 · Jan 10 | 301 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 2 · Jan 31 · Feb 28 | Dec 2 · Jan 1 · Jan 31 | 334 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Pensacola Regional Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Pensacola, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Pensacola Regional Airport (station USW00013899, elevation 112 ft), 2.5 mi from Pensacola. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Pensacola
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gulf Breeze, FL | 5.0 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 9 |
| Milton, FL | 16 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 27 |
| Orange Beach, AL | 26 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
| Foley, AL | 29 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Robertsdale, AL | 32 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Gulf Shores, AL | 32 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Fort Walton Beach, FL | 34 mi | Feb 5 | Dec 28 |
| Loxley, AL | 37 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Fairhope, AL | 42 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 17 |
| Crestview, FL | 42 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 12 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Pensacola?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Pensacola is around February 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 21.
When is the first frost in Pensacola?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 17 and a 90% chance by January 10.
Can it frost in Pensacola after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 2.
What growing zone is Pensacola?
Pensacola is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32503. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Pensacola · frost vs. freeze