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Will it freeze in Fernandina Beach in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fernandina Beach during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 67°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 67°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 61°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 61°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 59°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 59°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 58°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fernandina Beach
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Fernandina Beach. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 19 · Feb 18 · Mar 13 | Nov 26 · Dec 19 · Jan 14 | 303 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 2 · Feb 2 · Mar 1 | Dec 10 · Jan 4 · Feb 3 | 333 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 31 · Jan 26 · Feb 19 | Dec 19 · Jan 13 · Feb 10 | 362 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Fernandina Beach
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fernandina Beach, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Fernandina Beach (station USC00082944, elevation 49 ft), 0.6 mi from Fernandina Beach. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fernandina Beach
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Marys, GA | 9.9 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 14 |
| Atlantic Beach, FL | 22 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 10 |
| Kingsland, GA | 24 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 25 |
| Neptune Beach, FL | 24 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 10 |
| Jacksonville, FL | 25 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| Jacksonville Beach, FL | 27 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 10 |
| Brunswick, GA | 33 mi | Feb 8 | Dec 25 |
| Orange Park, FL | 37 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
| Macclenny, FL | 48 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 1 |
| Green Cove Springs, FL | 48 mi | Feb 1 | Jan 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fernandina Beach?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fernandina Beach is around February 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 2.
When is the first frost in Fernandina Beach?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 4. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 10 and a 90% chance by February 3.
Can it frost in Fernandina Beach after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 18.
What growing zone is Fernandina Beach?
Fernandina Beach is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32034. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze