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Will it freeze in Brooksville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Brooksville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 67°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 58°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 59°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 58°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 59°F Above 36°F · Scattered Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 58°F Above 36°F · Isolated Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Brooksville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 29, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Brooksville Hernando County Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 18 · Mar 17 · Apr 9 | Nov 1 · Nov 21 · Dec 13 | 250 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 30 · Mar 1 · Mar 27 | Nov 11 · Dec 5 · Jan 6 | 281 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 8 · Feb 7 · Mar 12 | Nov 27 · Dec 29 · Feb 2 | 315 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Brooksville Hernando County Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Brooksville, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Brooksville Hernando County Airport (station USW00012818, elevation 77 ft), 4.2 mi from Brooksville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Brooksville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dade City, FL | 17 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 8 |
| Inverness, FL | 23 mi | Mar 3 | Dec 5 |
| Zephyrhills, FL | 24 mi | Jan 31 | Jan 8 |
| New Port Richey, FL | 27 mi | Jan 20 | Jan 9 |
| Mascotte, FL | 31 mi | Mar 2 | Dec 5 |
| Wildwood, FL | 31 mi | Mar 2 | Dec 5 |
| Temple Terrace, FL | 33 mi | rare | rare |
| Leesburg, FL | 34 mi | Jan 26 | Jan 9 |
| Tarpon Springs, FL | 34 mi | Jan 20 | Jan 9 |
| Oldsmar, FL | 36 mi | Jan 20 | Jan 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Brooksville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Brooksville is around March 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 30.
When is the first frost in Brooksville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 11 and a 90% chance by January 6.
Can it frost in Brooksville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 17.
What growing zone is Brooksville?
Brooksville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 34604. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · frost vs. freeze