Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Milpitas in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Milpitas during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Patchy Fog
- Sun, Nov 8 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Patchy Fog
- Tue, Nov 10 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 50°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Milpitas
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at San Jose, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 11 · Feb 12 · Mar 9 | Nov 17 · Dec 3 · Dec 31 | 295 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 20 · Jan 12 · Feb 14 | Dec 1 · Dec 22 · Jan 20 | 347 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 10 · Dec 31 · Jan 17 | Dec 6 · Dec 28 · Jan 14 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at San Jose
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Milpitas, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: San Jose (station USW00023293, elevation 51 ft), 5.4 mi from Milpitas. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Milpitas
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fremont, CA | 5.0 mi | rare | rare |
| Santa Clara, CA | 6.2 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 22 |
| Sunnyvale, CA | 8.1 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 23 |
| Newark, CA | 9.3 mi | rare | rare |
| San Jose, CA | 11 mi | Jan 2 | Dec 25 |
| Mountain View, CA | 11 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 23 |
| Campbell, CA | 11 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 6 |
| Cupertino, CA | 12 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 23 |
| Los Altos, CA | 12 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 23 |
| East Palo Alto, CA | 14 mi | Feb 1 | Dec 7 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Milpitas?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Milpitas is around January 12. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 20.
When is the first frost in Milpitas?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 1 and a 90% chance by January 20.
Can it frost in Milpitas after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 12.
What growing zone is Milpitas?
Milpitas is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 95035. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Milpitas · frost vs. freeze