Frost dates 2026–2027

Frost dates for Kerman, California

Median (50% chance) dates of the last and first 32°F frost, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals at Madera, 16 mi away (reasonable match).

Last spring frostFeb 18
First fall frostNov 27
281 frost-free days
Last spring frostFeb 181 year in 10 after Mar 18
First fall frostNov 271 year in 10 by Nov 10
Growing season281 daysbetween median 32°F dates
Hardiness zoneZone 9a20 to 25°F average extreme low

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Will it freeze in Kerman in the next 7 nights?

No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Kerman during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.

Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.

NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.

No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.

Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.

Frost and freeze probabilities

Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.

These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.

Average first hard freeze in Kerman

The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 10, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Madera. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.

TemperatureLast spring date
90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze
First fall date
10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze
Season
36°F frost possible Feb 24 · Mar 25 · Apr 18 Oct 28 · Nov 11 · Nov 27 233 days
32°F freeze Jan 16 · Feb 18 · Mar 18 Nov 10 · Nov 27 · Dec 18 281 days
28°F hard freeze Dec 20 · Jan 21 · Feb 19 Nov 24 · Dec 10 · Jan 18 331 days
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, station USC00045233. How to read these probabilities.

Average high temperature by month

1991–2020 normals at Madera

Average low temperature by month

Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk

Where these frost dates come from

The frost dates for Kerman, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Madera (station USC00045233, elevation 270 ft), 16 mi from Kerman. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.

Frost dates near Kerman

CityDistanceLast spring frostFirst fall frost
Fresno, CA 16 mi Jan 14 Dec 14
Madera, CA 17 mi Feb 12 Nov 30
Mendota, CA 18 mi Feb 12 Nov 30
Clovis, CA 22 mi Jan 14 Dec 14
Fowler, CA 22 mi Jan 30 Dec 11
Firebaugh, CA 24 mi Feb 12 Nov 30
Selma, CA 27 mi Jan 30 Dec 11
Sanger, CA 28 mi Jan 30 Dec 11
Chowchilla, CA 29 mi Feb 12 Nov 30
Parlier, CA 30 mi Jan 30 Dec 11

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Kerman?

On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Kerman is around February 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 16.

When is the first frost in Kerman?

The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 10 and a 90% chance by December 18.

Can it frost in Kerman after the last frost date?

Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 25.

What growing zone is Kerman?

Kerman is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 93630. See growing zones in California.

More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · frost vs. freeze