Frost dates 2026–2027

Frost dates for Dublin, California

Median (50% chance) dates of the last and first 32°F frost, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals at Livermore, 4.8 mi away (close match).

Last spring frostFeb 15
First fall frostDec 2
292 frost-free days
Last spring frostFeb 151 year in 10 after Mar 13
First fall frostDec 21 year in 10 by Nov 16
Growing season292 daysbetween median 32°F dates
Hardiness zoneZone 9b25 to 30°F average extreme low

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Will it freeze in Dublin in the next 7 nights?

No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Dublin during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.

Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.

NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.

No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.

Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.

Frost and freeze probabilities

Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.

These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.

Average first hard freeze in Dublin

The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 18, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Livermore. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.

TemperatureLast spring date
90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze
First fall date
10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze
Season
36°F frost possible Feb 26 · Mar 25 · Apr 13 Nov 4 · Nov 18 · Dec 2 238 days
32°F freeze Jan 12 · Feb 15 · Mar 13 Nov 16 · Dec 2 · Dec 28 292 days
28°F hard freeze Dec 19 · Jan 10 · Feb 10 Nov 29 · Dec 18 · Jan 17 343 days
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, station USC00044997. How to read these probabilities.

Average high temperature by month

1991–2020 normals at Livermore

Average low temperature by month

Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk

Where these frost dates come from

The frost dates for Dublin, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Livermore (station USC00044997, elevation 393 ft), 4.8 mi from Dublin. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.

Frost dates near Dublin

CityDistanceLast spring frostFirst fall frost
Pleasanton, CA 3.7 mi Feb 15 Dec 2
San Ramon, CA 3.7 mi Mar 8 Dec 22
Livermore, CA 7.5 mi Feb 15 Dec 2
Danville, CA 7.5 mi Mar 8 Dec 22
Union City, CA 11 mi Jan 7 Dec 22
Hayward, CA 13 mi rare rare
San Leandro, CA 15 mi Jan 7 Dec 23
Walnut Creek, CA 15 mi Jan 7 Dec 19
Moraga, CA 16 mi rare rare
Fremont, CA 16 mi rare rare

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Dublin?

On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Dublin is around February 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 13, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 12.

When is the first frost in Dublin?

The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 16 and a 90% chance by December 28.

Can it frost in Dublin after the last frost date?

Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 25.

What growing zone is Dublin?

Dublin is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 94568. See growing zones in California.

More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Dublin · frost vs. freeze