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Will it freeze in California City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in California City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 47°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in California City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 30, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mojave. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 12 · Apr 11 · May 6 | Oct 22 · Nov 5 · Nov 19 | 208 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 15 · Apr 17 | Oct 31 · Nov 17 · Dec 1 | 241 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 25 · Feb 22 · Mar 22 | Nov 12 · Nov 30 · Dec 16 | 279 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mojave
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for California City, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mojave (station USC00045756, elevation 2,735 ft), 18 mi from California City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near California City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tehachapi, CA | 32 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 26 |
| Ridgecrest, CA | 35 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 12 |
| Lancaster, CA | 36 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Palmdale, CA | 40 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Adelanto, CA | 46 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| Barstow, CA | 50 mi | Feb 22 | Nov 23 |
| Victorville, CA | 52 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| Arvin, CA | 55 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 8 |
| Apple Valley, CA | 57 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| Hesperia, CA | 61 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in California City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in California City is around March 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 21.
When is the first frost in California City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 17. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 1.
Can it frost in California City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 11.
What growing zone is California City?
California City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 93505. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · frost vs. freeze