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Will it freeze in Arvin in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Arvin during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 53°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Arvin
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Bakersfield 5 NW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 3 · Mar 2 · Apr 2 | Nov 11 · Nov 26 · Dec 11 | 265 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 31 · Jan 31 · Feb 27 | Nov 23 · Dec 8 · Jan 1 | 312 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 14 · Jan 3 · Feb 1 | Dec 2 · Dec 20 · Jan 20 | 353 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Bakersfield 5 NW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Arvin, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Bakersfield 5 NW (station USC00040444, elevation 470 ft), 20 mi from Arvin. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Arvin
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bakersfield, CA | 16 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 8 |
| Tehachapi, CA | 22 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 26 |
| Shafter, CA | 29 mi | Feb 20 | Nov 23 |
| Taft, CA | 34 mi | Jan 24 | Dec 17 |
| McFarland, CA | 40 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 8 |
| Wasco, CA | 41 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Delano, CA | 47 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 8 |
| Lancaster, CA | 51 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| California City, CA | 55 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 17 |
| Fillmore, CA | 55 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Arvin?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Arvin is around January 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 31.
When is the first frost in Arvin?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 23 and a 90% chance by January 1.
Can it frost in Arvin after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 2.
What growing zone is Arvin?
Arvin is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 93203. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · frost vs. freeze