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Will it freeze in Chino Valley in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Chino Valley during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 36°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Chino Valley
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Chino Valley. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 26 · May 13 · Jun 2 | Oct 1 · Oct 12 · Oct 27 | 150 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 10 · Apr 27 · May 18 | Oct 9 · Oct 24 · Nov 8 | 178 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 9 · Apr 29 | Oct 18 · Nov 5 · Nov 19 | 206 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Chino Valley
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Chino Valley, AZ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Chino Valley (station USC00021654, elevation 4,750 ft), 3.1 mi from Chino Valley. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Chino Valley
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prescott, AZ | 11 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 20 |
| Prescott Valley, AZ | 11 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 20 |
| Cottonwood, AZ | 24 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 10 |
| Camp Verde, AZ | 34 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 30 |
| Sedona, AZ | 36 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 17 |
| Flagstaff, AZ | 54 mi | Jun 4 | Sep 28 |
| Wickenburg, AZ | 56 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 20 |
| Peoria, AZ | 66 mi | Feb 5 | Dec 11 |
| Cave Creek, AZ | 67 mi | Feb 4 | Dec 16 |
| Payson, AZ | 71 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Chino Valley?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Chino Valley is around April 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 10.
When is the first frost in Chino Valley?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 9 and a 90% chance by November 8.
Can it frost in Chino Valley after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 13.
What growing zone is Chino Valley?
Chino Valley is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 86323. See growing zones in Arizona.
More: all Arizona frost dates · Arizona growing zones · frost vs. freeze