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Will it freeze in Ward in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Ward during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ward
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cabot. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 30 · Apr 15 · Apr 30 | Oct 9 · Oct 21 · Nov 1 | 188 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 4 · Apr 20 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 209 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 22 · Apr 10 | Oct 25 · Nov 8 · Nov 26 | 233 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cabot
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ward, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cabot (station USC00031102, elevation 300 ft), 3.5 mi from Ward. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ward
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cabot, AR | 5.0 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Beebe, AR | 5.0 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Jacksonville, AR | 14 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Sherwood, AR | 18 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Searcy, AR | 20 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 8 |
| North Little Rock, AR | 22 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Maumelle, AR | 27 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Greenbrier, AR | 29 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 25 |
| Conway, AR | 29 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 2 |
| Little Rock, AR | 30 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ward?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ward is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in Ward?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 18 and a 90% chance by November 13.
Can it frost in Ward after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 15.
What growing zone is Ward?
Ward is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72007. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze