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Will it freeze in Conway in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Conway during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Conway
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Conway. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 28 · Apr 13 · Apr 28 | Oct 9 · Oct 23 · Nov 5 | 192 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 13 · Apr 2 · Apr 19 | Oct 20 · Nov 2 · Nov 16 | 215 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 27 · Mar 17 · Apr 7 | Oct 30 · Nov 11 · Nov 29 | 239 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Conway
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Conway, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Conway (station USC00031596, elevation 312 ft), 2.4 mi from Conway. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Conway
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenbrier, AR | 12 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 25 |
| Maumelle, AR | 16 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Morrilton, AR | 16 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 2 |
| Sherwood, AR | 21 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Jacksonville, AR | 24 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| North Little Rock, AR | 24 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Little Rock, AR | 25 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Cabot, AR | 25 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Ward, AR | 29 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Bryant, AR | 32 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Conway?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Conway is around April 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 19, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 13.
When is the first frost in Conway?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 20 and a 90% chance by November 16.
Can it frost in Conway after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 13.
What growing zone is Conway?
Conway is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72034. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · UV index today in Conway · frost vs. freeze