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Will it freeze in Jacksonville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Jacksonville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Jacksonville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Little Rock. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 10 · Mar 28 · Apr 16 | Oct 23 · Nov 6 · Nov 21 | 222 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 27 · Mar 16 · Apr 2 | Oct 31 · Nov 16 · Dec 2 | 245 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 16 · Mar 4 · Mar 21 | Nov 10 · Nov 27 · Dec 17 | 268 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Little Rock
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Jacksonville, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Little Rock (station USW00003952, elevation 568 ft), 8.0 mi from Jacksonville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Jacksonville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sherwood, AR | 4.3 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| North Little Rock, AR | 8.7 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Cabot, AR | 8.7 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Ward, AR | 14 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Maumelle, AR | 16 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Little Rock, AR | 17 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Beebe, AR | 19 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Conway, AR | 24 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 2 |
| Bryant, AR | 27 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Greenbrier, AR | 28 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Jacksonville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Jacksonville is around March 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 2, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 27.
When is the first frost in Jacksonville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 16. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 2.
Can it frost in Jacksonville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 28.
What growing zone is Jacksonville?
Jacksonville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72099. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · UV index today in Jacksonville · frost vs. freeze