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Will it freeze in Hot Springs in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Hot Springs during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Hot Springs
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Hot Springs 1 Nne. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 14 · Apr 2 · Apr 19 | Oct 19 · Nov 3 · Nov 19 | 215 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 19 · Apr 7 | Oct 28 · Nov 13 · Dec 3 | 239 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 13 · Mar 6 · Mar 26 | Nov 7 · Nov 27 · Dec 18 | 266 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Hot Springs 1 Nne
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Hot Springs, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Hot Springs 1 Nne (station USC00033466, elevation 626 ft), 1.6 mi from Hot Springs. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Hot Springs
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern, AR | 16 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 5 |
| Arkadelphia, AR | 25 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 4 |
| Benton, AR | 28 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Bryant, AR | 33 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Sheridan, AR | 37 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 3 |
| Little Rock, AR | 43 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Maumelle, AR | 45 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Morrilton, AR | 49 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 2 |
| North Little Rock, AR | 50 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Conway, AR | 52 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 2 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Hot Springs?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Hot Springs is around March 19. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 1.
When is the first frost in Hot Springs?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by December 3.
Can it frost in Hot Springs after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 2.
What growing zone is Hot Springs?
Hot Springs is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 71913. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · UV index today in Hot Springs · frost vs. freeze