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Will it freeze in Malvern in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Malvern during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Malvern
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 16, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Malvern. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 26 · Apr 12 · Apr 26 | Oct 16 · Oct 28 · Nov 9 | 199 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 11 · Mar 31 · Apr 16 | Oct 25 · Nov 5 · Nov 22 | 220 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 26 · Mar 18 · Apr 6 | Nov 2 · Nov 16 · Dec 3 | 242 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Malvern
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Malvern, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Malvern (station USC00034562, elevation 300 ft), 1.7 mi from Malvern. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Malvern
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Springs, AR | 16 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 13 |
| Benton, AR | 20 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Sheridan, AR | 22 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 3 |
| Arkadelphia, AR | 22 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 4 |
| Bryant, AR | 25 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Little Rock, AR | 36 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Maumelle, AR | 41 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| White Hall, AR | 42 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
| North Little Rock, AR | 43 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Pine Bluff, AR | 47 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Malvern?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Malvern is around March 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 11.
When is the first frost in Malvern?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 25 and a 90% chance by November 22.
Can it frost in Malvern after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 12.
What growing zone is Malvern?
Malvern is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72104. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze