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Will it freeze in Hope in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Hope during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Hope
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 17, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Hope 3 NE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 21 · Apr 7 · Apr 24 | Oct 16 · Oct 29 · Nov 12 | 203 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 5 · Mar 26 · Apr 13 | Oct 23 · Nov 6 · Nov 26 | 226 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 20 · Mar 11 · Mar 31 | Nov 1 · Nov 17 · Dec 6 | 254 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Hope 3 NE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Hope, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Hope 3 NE (station USC00033428, elevation 375 ft), 3.4 mi from Hope. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Hope
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texarkana, AR | 28 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 13 |
| Texarkana, TX | 32 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 17 |
| Magnolia, AR | 34 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 2 |
| Wake Village, TX | 35 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 17 |
| Camden, AR | 43 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 6 |
| Arkadelphia, AR | 43 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 4 |
| De Queen, AR | 50 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Atlanta, TX | 51 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 11 |
| El Dorado, AR | 62 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 7 |
| Hot Springs, AR | 65 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 13 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Hope?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Hope is around March 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 13, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 5.
When is the first frost in Hope?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 6. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 23 and a 90% chance by November 26.
Can it frost in Hope after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 7.
What growing zone is Hope?
Hope is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 71801. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze