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Will it freeze in Aberdeen in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Aberdeen during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 49°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 49°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Tue, Nov 10 52°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Aberdeen
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Aberdeen. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 4 · Apr 23 · May 11 | Oct 11 · Oct 27 · Nov 14 | 187 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 25 · Mar 29 · Apr 20 | Oct 27 · Nov 15 · Dec 10 | 234 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 27 · Feb 18 · Mar 20 | Nov 11 · Dec 6 · Jan 26 | 304 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Aberdeen
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Aberdeen, WA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Aberdeen (station USC00450008, elevation 10 ft), 1.1 mi from Aberdeen. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Aberdeen
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoquiam, WA | 4.3 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 14 |
| Ocean Shores, WA | 16 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 14 |
| Shelton, WA | 37 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 16 |
| Tumwater, WA | 42 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
| Centralia, WA | 43 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 27 |
| Olympia, WA | 43 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
| Chehalis, WA | 45 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 27 |
| Lacey, WA | 48 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
| Astoria, OR | 55 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 11 |
| Yelm, WA | 55 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Aberdeen?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Aberdeen is around March 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 25.
When is the first frost in Aberdeen?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 27 and a 90% chance by December 10.
Can it frost in Aberdeen after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 23.
What growing zone is Aberdeen?
Aberdeen is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 98520. See growing zones in Washington.
More: all Washington frost dates · Washington growing zones · frost vs. freeze