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Will it freeze in Lawrenceburg in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 42°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 42°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lawrenceburg
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 7, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lawrenceburg Filt Plt. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 2 · Apr 22 · May 5 | Oct 8 · Oct 21 · Nov 4 | 183 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 8 · Apr 26 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 204 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 26 · Apr 13 | Oct 27 · Nov 7 · Nov 28 | 228 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lawrenceburg Filt Plt
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lawrenceburg, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lawrenceburg Filt Plt (station USC00405089, elevation 870 ft), 1.1 mi from Lawrenceburg. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lawrenceburg
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pulaski, TN | 17 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 24 |
| Mount Pleasant, TN | 22 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 28 |
| Columbia, TN | 30 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 27 |
| Lewisburg, TN | 34 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
| Florence, AL | 35 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 3 |
| Muscle Shoals, AL | 39 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Athens, AL | 39 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 12 |
| Sheffield, AL | 40 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Spring Hill, TN | 42 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Tuscumbia, AL | 42 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lawrenceburg?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lawrenceburg is around April 8. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 26, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 19.
When is the first frost in Lawrenceburg?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 18 and a 90% chance by November 13.
Can it frost in Lawrenceburg after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 22.
What growing zone is Lawrenceburg?
Lawrenceburg is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38464. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze