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Will it freeze in Florence in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Florence during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Florence
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 14, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Muscle Shoals 2 N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 24 · Apr 10 · Apr 25 | Oct 14 · Oct 25 · Nov 7 | 197 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 7 · Mar 27 · Apr 13 | Oct 22 · Nov 3 · Nov 19 | 220 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 20 · Mar 12 · Mar 31 | Nov 1 · Nov 14 · Dec 2 | 247 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Muscle Shoals 2 N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Florence, AL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Muscle Shoals 2 N (station USW00063894, elevation 530 ft), 4.2 mi from Florence. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Florence
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield, AL | 5.6 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Muscle Shoals, AL | 6.2 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Tuscumbia, AL | 8.1 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Russellville, AL | 23 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 4 |
| Lawrenceburg, TN | 35 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 31 |
| Athens, AL | 40 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 12 |
| Decatur, AL | 42 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 7 |
| Savannah, TN | 42 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 1 |
| Pulaski, TN | 43 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 24 |
| Corinth, MS | 49 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Florence?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Florence is around March 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 13, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 7.
When is the first frost in Florence?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 22 and a 90% chance by November 19.
Can it frost in Florence after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 10.
What growing zone is Florence?
Florence is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 35630. See growing zones in Alabama.
More: all Alabama frost dates · Alabama growing zones · UV index today in Florence · frost vs. freeze