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Will it freeze in Oxford in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Oxford during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 59°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 59°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oxford
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 31, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Octoraro Lake. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 21 · May 4 · May 19 | Oct 1 · Oct 13 · Oct 25 | 159 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 26 · May 10 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 3 | 179 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 26 · Apr 11 · Apr 30 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 202 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Octoraro Lake
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oxford, PA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Octoraro Lake (station USC00366508, elevation 260 ft), 3.5 mi from Oxford. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oxford
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newark, DE | 14 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 2 |
| Kennett Square, PA | 15 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 26 |
| Elkton, MD | 15 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 2 |
| Coatesville, PA | 16 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 25 |
| Havre de Grace, MD | 18 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 30 |
| Elsmere, DE | 21 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 4 |
| Downingtown, PA | 21 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 18 |
| Aberdeen, MD | 21 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 30 |
| New Holland, PA | 22 mi | Apr 14 | Nov 1 |
| West Chester, PA | 23 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oxford?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oxford is around April 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Oxford?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 9 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Oxford after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Oxford?
Oxford is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 19363. See growing zones in Pennsylvania.
More: all Pennsylvania frost dates · Pennsylvania growing zones · frost vs. freeze