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Will it freeze in Elizabethtown in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Elizabethtown during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 57°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 57°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Elizabethtown
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 14, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Middletown Harrisburg Intl Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 7 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 4 | 183 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 28 · Apr 9 · Apr 25 | Oct 18 · Nov 2 · Nov 15 | 206 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 14 · Mar 30 · Apr 9 | Oct 31 · Nov 14 · Nov 29 | 230 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Middletown Harrisburg Intl Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Elizabethtown, PA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Middletown Harrisburg Intl Airport (station USW00014711, elevation 312 ft), 9.1 mi from Elizabethtown. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Elizabethtown
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Joy, PA | 5.6 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 10 |
| Middletown, PA | 7.5 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 2 |
| Columbia, PA | 9.9 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 10 |
| Palmyra, PA | 11 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 25 |
| Steelton, PA | 13 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 1 |
| York, PA | 15 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 19 |
| Lititz, PA | 16 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| New Cumberland, PA | 16 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 1 |
| Lebanon, PA | 16 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 25 |
| West York, PA | 16 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Elizabethtown?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Elizabethtown is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 25, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 28.
When is the first frost in Elizabethtown?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 18 and a 90% chance by November 15.
Can it frost in Elizabethtown after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 23.
What growing zone is Elizabethtown?
Elizabethtown is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 17022. See growing zones in Pennsylvania.
More: all Pennsylvania frost dates · Pennsylvania growing zones · frost vs. freeze