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Will it freeze in Sutherlin in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Sutherlin during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 38°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 46°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Sutherlin
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Winchester. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 6 · Apr 28 · May 15 | Oct 2 · Oct 20 · Nov 6 | 175 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 5 · Mar 31 · Apr 26 | Oct 16 · Nov 5 · Dec 3 | 215 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 11 · Feb 26 · Mar 31 | Oct 29 · Dec 1 · Jan 10 | 278 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Winchester
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Sutherlin, OR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Winchester (station USC00359461, elevation 460 ft), 7.3 mi from Sutherlin. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Sutherlin
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roseburg, OR | 11 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 18 |
| Winston, OR | 19 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 18 |
| Cottage Grove, OR | 31 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 25 |
| Creswell, OR | 40 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 25 |
| Veneta, OR | 46 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Coos Bay, OR | 46 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 9 |
| North Bend, OR | 46 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 9 |
| Eugene, OR | 47 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 23 |
| Springfield, OR | 49 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 23 |
| Florence, OR | 57 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 15 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Sutherlin?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Sutherlin is around March 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 26, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 5.
When is the first frost in Sutherlin?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 16 and a 90% chance by December 3.
Can it frost in Sutherlin after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 28.
What growing zone is Sutherlin?
Sutherlin is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 97494. See growing zones in Oregon.
More: all Oregon frost dates · Oregon growing zones · frost vs. freeze