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Will it freeze in Florence in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Florence during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 51°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Tue, Nov 10 52°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Florence
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Florence #2. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 18 · May 8 · May 30 | Sep 17 · Oct 15 · Nov 9 | 159 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 6 · Apr 10 · May 5 | Oct 23 · Nov 15 · Dec 13 | 220 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 25 · Feb 26 · Apr 1 | Nov 12 · Dec 12 · Feb 17 | 294 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Florence #2
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Florence, OR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Florence #2 (station USC00352973, elevation 75 ft), 1.1 mi from Florence. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Florence
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veneta, OR | 38 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| North Bend, OR | 41 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 9 |
| Coos Bay, OR | 43 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 9 |
| Newport, OR | 43 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 16 |
| Junction City, OR | 47 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 23 |
| Eugene, OR | 49 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 23 |
| Philomath, OR | 53 mi | May 15 | Oct 8 |
| Cottage Grove, OR | 54 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 25 |
| Creswell, OR | 55 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 25 |
| Springfield, OR | 56 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Florence?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Florence is around April 10. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 6.
When is the first frost in Florence?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 23 and a 90% chance by December 13.
Can it frost in Florence after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 8.
What growing zone is Florence?
Florence is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 97439. See growing zones in Oregon.
More: all Oregon frost dates · Oregon growing zones · frost vs. freeze