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Will it freeze in Lincoln City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lincoln City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 54°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 51°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 52°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Tue, Nov 10 54°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Wed, Nov 11 50°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lincoln City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Otis 2 NE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 15 · May 3 · May 22 | Oct 4 · Oct 25 · Nov 14 | 172 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 2 · Apr 4 · May 3 | Oct 26 · Nov 16 · Dec 12 | 227 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 26 · Feb 18 · Mar 24 | Nov 10 · Dec 8 · Jan 30 | 300 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Otis 2 NE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lincoln City, OR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Otis 2 NE (station USC00356366, elevation 150 ft), 5.5 mi from Lincoln City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lincoln City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newport, OR | 25 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 16 |
| Sheridan, OR | 31 mi | Apr 16 | Nov 1 |
| Tillamook, OR | 34 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 21 |
| Dallas, OR | 34 mi | Apr 16 | Nov 1 |
| Monmouth, OR | 39 mi | Apr 16 | Nov 1 |
| Independence, OR | 40 mi | Apr 16 | Nov 1 |
| McMinnville, OR | 43 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 7 |
| Philomath, OR | 43 mi | May 15 | Oct 8 |
| Corvallis, OR | 45 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 28 |
| Keizer, OR | 48 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lincoln City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lincoln City is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 2.
When is the first frost in Lincoln City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 16. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 26 and a 90% chance by December 12.
Can it frost in Lincoln City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 3.
What growing zone is Lincoln City?
Lincoln City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 97364. See growing zones in Oregon.
More: all Oregon frost dates · Oregon growing zones · frost vs. freeze