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Will it freeze in Wagoner in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Wagoner during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Wagoner
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 16, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Wagoner. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 25 · Apr 10 · Apr 25 | Oct 12 · Oct 27 · Nov 10 | 202 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 10 · Mar 29 · Apr 14 | Oct 21 · Nov 5 · Nov 22 | 223 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 25 · Mar 15 · Apr 3 | Oct 31 · Nov 16 · Dec 4 | 246 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Wagoner
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Wagoner, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Wagoner (station USC00349247, elevation 590 ft), 0.2 mi from Wagoner. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Wagoner
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muskogee, OK | 16 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Coweta, OK | 16 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Tahlequah, OK | 23 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Broken Arrow, OK | 23 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Pryor Creek, OK | 24 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Verdigris, OK | 25 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Catoosa, OK | 27 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 4 |
| Claremore, OK | 27 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Bixby, OK | 28 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Tulsa, OK | 31 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Wagoner?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Wagoner is around March 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 10.
When is the first frost in Wagoner?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 22.
Can it frost in Wagoner after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 10.
What growing zone is Wagoner?
Wagoner is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 74467. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze