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Will it freeze in Tahlequah in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Tahlequah during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Tahlequah
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 10, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Tahlequah. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 15 · May 4 | Oct 6 · Oct 23 · Nov 4 | 188 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 4 · Apr 24 | Oct 16 · Oct 31 · Nov 16 | 209 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 2 · Mar 23 · Apr 9 | Oct 26 · Nov 10 · Nov 28 | 232 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Tahlequah
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Tahlequah, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Tahlequah (station USC00348677, elevation 850 ft), 2.0 mi from Tahlequah. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Tahlequah
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wagoner, OK | 23 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Muskogee, OK | 24 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Siloam Springs, AR | 32 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 2 |
| Sallisaw, OK | 32 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 7 |
| Pryor Creek, OK | 33 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Prairie Grove, AR | 38 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 21 |
| Coweta, OK | 39 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 1 |
| Farmington, AR | 42 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 21 |
| Tontitown, AR | 45 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Verdigris, OK | 45 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Tahlequah?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Tahlequah is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 17.
When is the first frost in Tahlequah?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 16 and a 90% chance by November 16.
Can it frost in Tahlequah after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 15.
What growing zone is Tahlequah?
Tahlequah is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 74464. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze