Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in McAlester in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in McAlester during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in McAlester
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mcalester Regional Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 27 · Apr 11 · Apr 29 | Oct 12 · Oct 26 · Nov 7 | 196 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 11 · Mar 31 · Apr 18 | Oct 20 · Nov 3 · Nov 19 | 216 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 26 · Mar 15 · Apr 5 | Oct 28 · Nov 13 · Dec 2 | 242 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mcalester Regional Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for McAlester, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mcalester Regional Airport (station USW00093950, elevation 770 ft), 3.1 mi from McAlester. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near McAlester
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holdenville, OK | 37 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 31 |
| Henryetta, OK | 37 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Okmulgee, OK | 49 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Ada, OK | 52 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Seminole, OK | 54 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Muskogee, OK | 61 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Hugo, OK | 65 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 15 |
| Sallisaw, OK | 66 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 7 |
| Poteau, OK | 66 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 2 |
| Tecumseh, OK | 70 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in McAlester?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in McAlester is around March 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 11.
When is the first frost in McAlester?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 20 and a 90% chance by November 19.
Can it frost in McAlester after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 11.
What growing zone is McAlester?
McAlester is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 74554. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze