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Will it freeze in Holdenville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Holdenville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Holdenville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Holdenville 2SSE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 1 · Apr 17 · May 1 | Oct 6 · Oct 21 · Nov 4 | 187 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 6 · Apr 24 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 16 | 206 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 5 · Mar 23 · Apr 13 | Oct 24 · Nov 8 · Nov 27 | 231 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Holdenville 2SSE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Holdenville, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Holdenville 2SSE (station USC00344235, elevation 855 ft), 2.1 mi from Holdenville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Holdenville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seminole, OK | 17 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Ada, OK | 27 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Tecumseh, OK | 32 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 5 |
| Henryetta, OK | 34 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Shawnee, OK | 37 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 5 |
| McAlester, OK | 37 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 3 |
| Okmulgee, OK | 45 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Harrah, OK | 52 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 5 |
| Pauls Valley, OK | 53 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 7 |
| Norman, OK | 55 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Holdenville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Holdenville is around April 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 19.
When is the first frost in Holdenville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 17 and a 90% chance by November 16.
Can it frost in Holdenville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 17.
What growing zone is Holdenville?
Holdenville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 74848. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze