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Will it freeze in Lone Grove in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lone Grove during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lone Grove
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 19, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ardmore 7WNW Mesonet. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 18 · Apr 5 · Apr 25 | Oct 18 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 208 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 21 · Apr 10 | Oct 24 · Nov 8 · Nov 28 | 231 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 17 · Mar 7 · Mar 27 | Nov 1 · Nov 19 · Dec 7 | 255 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ardmore 7WNW Mesonet
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lone Grove, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ardmore 7WNW Mesonet (station USC00340312, elevation 928 ft), 4.4 mi from Lone Grove. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lone Grove
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ardmore, OK | 6.8 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 14 |
| Pauls Valley, OK | 37 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 7 |
| Gainesville, TX | 38 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 14 |
| Duncan, OK | 45 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 7 |
| Denison, TX | 48 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 19 |
| Durant, OK | 51 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 5 |
| Sherman, TX | 52 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 19 |
| Ada, OK | 52 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Bowie, TX | 55 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 9 |
| Sanger, TX | 55 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 16 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lone Grove?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lone Grove is around March 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 3.
When is the first frost in Lone Grove?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 24 and a 90% chance by November 28.
Can it frost in Lone Grove after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 5.
What growing zone is Lone Grove?
Lone Grove is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 73443. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze