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Will it freeze in West Carrollton in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in West Carrollton during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in West Carrollton
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dayton Wright Bros Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 14 · Apr 29 · May 16 | Oct 4 · Oct 17 · Oct 28 | 169 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 17 · May 6 | Oct 13 · Oct 26 · Nov 6 | 192 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 5 · Apr 21 | Oct 23 · Nov 5 · Nov 20 | 214 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dayton Wright Bros Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for West Carrollton, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dayton Wright Bros Airport (station USW00053859, elevation 962 ft), 5.5 mi from West Carrollton. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near West Carrollton
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moraine, OH | 1.9 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Miamisburg, OH | 3.1 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 26 |
| Oakwood, OH | 5.6 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Kettering, OH | 5.6 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Centerville, OH | 6.2 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 26 |
| Germantown, OH | 6.2 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 19 |
| Carlisle, OH | 7.5 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 19 |
| Springboro, OH | 7.5 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 26 |
| Franklin, OH | 8.1 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 19 |
| Dayton, OH | 8.7 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in West Carrollton?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in West Carrollton is around April 17. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 3.
When is the first frost in West Carrollton?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 6.
Can it frost in West Carrollton after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 29.
What growing zone is West Carrollton?
West Carrollton is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 45449. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze