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Will it freeze in Upper Arlington in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Upper Arlington during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Upper Arlington
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Columbus Wcmh. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 17 · Apr 30 · May 19 | Sep 29 · Oct 13 · Oct 25 | 164 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 5 · Apr 20 · May 7 | Oct 13 · Oct 24 · Nov 4 | 185 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 24 · Apr 8 · Apr 25 | Oct 22 · Nov 3 · Nov 16 | 209 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Columbus Wcmh
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Upper Arlington, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Columbus Wcmh (station USC00331785, elevation 740 ft), 2.3 mi from Upper Arlington. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Upper Arlington
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grandview Heights, OH | 3.7 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 24 |
| Hilliard, OH | 4.3 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Columbus, OH | 5.6 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 24 |
| Worthington, OH | 5.6 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Dublin, OH | 6.8 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Bexley, OH | 8.7 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Powell, OH | 9.9 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Gahanna, OH | 9.9 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Westerville, OH | 11 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 24 |
| Whitehall, OH | 11 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Upper Arlington?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Upper Arlington is around April 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 5.
When is the first frost in Upper Arlington?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Upper Arlington after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 30.
What growing zone is Upper Arlington?
Upper Arlington is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 43221. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · UV index today in Upper Arlington · frost vs. freeze