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Will it freeze in Oxford in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 29°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM EST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 29°F Freeze · Mostly Clear then Widespread Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Areas Of Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Thu, Nov 12 32°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oxford
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Fairfield. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 15 · Apr 30 · May 17 | Oct 1 · Oct 12 · Oct 24 | 165 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 19 · May 7 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 3 | 186 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 22 · Apr 6 · Apr 23 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 209 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Fairfield
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oxford, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Fairfield (station USC00332651, elevation 575 ft), 14 mi from Oxford. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oxford
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton, OH | 12 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Trenton, OH | 15 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Fairfield, OH | 16 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Harrison, OH | 17 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 28 |
| Eaton, OH | 18 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 20 |
| Forest Park, OH | 19 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Middletown, OH | 21 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 19 |
| Monroe, OH | 21 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 19 |
| Springdale, OH | 21 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 18 |
| Mount Healthy, OH | 22 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oxford?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oxford is around April 19. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 2.
When is the first frost in Oxford?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 9 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Oxford after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 30.
What growing zone is Oxford?
Oxford is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 45056. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze