Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Independence in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Independence during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Independence
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cleveland Burke Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 8 · Apr 20 · May 1 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 14 | 196 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 29 · Apr 8 · Apr 20 | Nov 1 · Nov 12 · Nov 28 | 217 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 1 · Apr 13 | Nov 7 · Nov 22 · Dec 8 | 236 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cleveland Burke Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Independence, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cleveland Burke Airport (station USW00004853, elevation 584 ft), 9.9 mi from Independence. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Independence
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seven Hills, OH | 2.5 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 12 |
| Garfield Heights, OH | 3.1 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 12 |
| Maple Heights, OH | 4.3 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 12 |
| Broadview Heights, OH | 5.0 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Parma, OH | 5.0 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Brecksville, OH | 5.0 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Bedford, OH | 5.0 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 12 |
| Parma Heights, OH | 6.8 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Bedford Heights, OH | 6.8 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 12 |
| Warrensville Heights, OH | 6.8 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 12 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Independence?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Independence is around April 8. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 29.
When is the first frost in Independence?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 1 and a 90% chance by November 28.
Can it frost in Independence after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 20.
What growing zone is Independence?
Independence is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 44131. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze