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Will it freeze in Canal Winchester in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Canal Winchester during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Canal Winchester
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 30, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Columbus-Valley Crossing. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 2 · May 17 | Sep 25 · Oct 8 · Oct 22 | 159 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 11 · Apr 23 · May 8 | Oct 6 · Oct 19 · Nov 1 | 177 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 12 · Apr 25 | Oct 16 · Oct 30 · Nov 12 | 200 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Columbus-Valley Crossing
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Canal Winchester, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Columbus-Valley Crossing (station USC00331783, elevation 760 ft), 6.6 mi from Canal Winchester. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Canal Winchester
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groveport, OH | 3.7 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 19 |
| Pickerington, OH | 4.3 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 19 |
| Obetz, OH | 6.8 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 19 |
| Reynoldsburg, OH | 8.1 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Whitehall, OH | 9.3 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Bexley, OH | 9.9 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Columbus, OH | 13 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 24 |
| Grove City, OH | 13 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 19 |
| Pataskala, OH | 13 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
| Gahanna, OH | 14 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 27 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Canal Winchester?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Canal Winchester is around April 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 8, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 11.
When is the first frost in Canal Winchester?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 6 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Canal Winchester after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Canal Winchester?
Canal Winchester is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 43110. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze