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Will it freeze in Patchogue in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Patchogue during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Light Rain then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 53°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 42°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Patchogue
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 24, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Molloy Cercom. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 5 · Apr 20 · May 8 | Oct 15 · Oct 30 · Nov 13 | 192 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 22 · Apr 4 · Apr 21 | Oct 27 · Nov 11 · Nov 29 | 219 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 9 · Mar 24 · Apr 5 | Nov 6 · Nov 24 · Dec 12 | 246 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Molloy Cercom
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Patchogue, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Molloy Cercom (station USC00302151, elevation 5 ft), 4.7 mi from Patchogue. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Patchogue
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Grove, NY | 8.1 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 2 |
| Port Jefferson, NY | 12 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 7 |
| Babylon, NY | 17 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 6 |
| Lindenhurst, NY | 19 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 6 |
| Northport, NY | 19 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 10 |
| Amityville, NY | 22 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 6 |
| Farmingdale, NY | 22 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 6 |
| Massapequa Park, NY | 23 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 11 |
| Westbury, NY | 30 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Bayville, NY | 30 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 10 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Patchogue?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Patchogue is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 22.
When is the first frost in Patchogue?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 27 and a 90% chance by November 29.
Can it frost in Patchogue after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 20.
What growing zone is Patchogue?
Patchogue is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 11715. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze