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Will it freeze in New York in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in New York during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 63°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 63°F Above 36°F · Light Rain then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 55°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in New York
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ny Ave V Brooklyn. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 30 · Apr 10 · Apr 25 | Oct 25 · Nov 6 · Nov 22 | 209 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 1 · Apr 12 | Nov 6 · Nov 19 · Dec 5 | 233 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 4 · Mar 19 · Apr 2 | Nov 16 · Dec 1 · Dec 18 | 255 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ny Ave V Brooklyn
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for New York, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ny Ave V Brooklyn (station USC00305796, elevation 20 ft), 5.2 mi from New York. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near New York
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoboken, NJ | 7.5 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 20 |
| Jersey City, NJ | 7.5 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 6 |
| Union City, NJ | 8.7 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 20 |
| Bayonne, NJ | 8.7 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 10 |
| West New York, NJ | 9.3 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 20 |
| Guttenberg, NJ | 9.3 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 20 |
| Secaucus, NJ | 11 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 4 |
| Cliffside Park, NJ | 11 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 20 |
| Edgewater, NJ | 11 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 20 |
| Cedarhurst, NY | 11 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in New York?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in New York is around April 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 12, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in New York?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 6 and a 90% chance by December 5.
Can it frost in New York after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 10.
What growing zone is New York?
New York is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 11213. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · UV index today in New York · frost vs. freeze