Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Mineola in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Mineola during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 61°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 61°F Above 36°F · Light Rain then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 54°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 46°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mineola
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mineola. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 3 · Apr 16 · Apr 30 | Oct 16 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 196 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 2 · Apr 16 | Oct 31 · Nov 12 · Dec 1 | 224 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 5 · Mar 20 · Apr 4 | Nov 9 · Nov 25 · Dec 13 | 247 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mineola
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mineola, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mineola (station USC00305377, elevation 96 ft), 1.5 mi from Mineola. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mineola
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williston Park, NY | 0.6 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Garden City, NY | 1.2 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| New Hyde Park, NY | 2.5 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Westbury, NY | 2.5 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| North Hills, NY | 3.1 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Hempstead, NY | 3.1 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| East Hills, NY | 3.1 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Old Westbury, NY | 3.7 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Floral Park, NY | 3.7 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 12 |
| Malverne, NY | 5.6 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 8 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mineola?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mineola is around April 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 18.
When is the first frost in Mineola?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 1.
Can it frost in Mineola after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 16.
What growing zone is Mineola?
Mineola is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 11501. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze