Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Elmsford in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Elmsford during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 61°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 61°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 51°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Elmsford
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 7, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dobbs Ferry-Ardsley. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 19 · May 2 · May 18 | Oct 1 · Oct 12 · Oct 31 | 164 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 20 · May 6 | Oct 10 · Oct 26 · Nov 10 | 189 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 4 · Apr 20 | Oct 23 · Nov 7 · Nov 23 | 217 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dobbs Ferry-Ardsley
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Elmsford, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dobbs Ferry-Ardsley (station USC00302129, elevation 200 ft), 3.4 mi from Elmsford. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Elmsford
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrytown, NY | 3.1 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
| Irvington, NY | 3.1 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
| Ardsley, NY | 3.1 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
| White Plains, NY | 3.7 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 31 |
| Sleepy Hollow, NY | 4.3 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
| Dobbs Ferry, NY | 4.3 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
| Scarsdale, NY | 4.3 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
| Harrison, NY | 5.6 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 31 |
| Pleasantville, NY | 5.6 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 31 |
| Hastings-on-Hudson, NY | 5.6 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Elmsford?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Elmsford is around April 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 4.
When is the first frost in Elmsford?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 10 and a 90% chance by November 10.
Can it frost in Elmsford after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Elmsford?
Elmsford is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 10523. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze