Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Blair in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 31°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 36°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 36°F Frost possible · Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 31°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Blair
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Blair. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 2 · May 14 | Sep 21 · Oct 6 · Oct 20 | 155 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 22 · May 5 | Sep 30 · Oct 17 · Oct 30 | 177 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 12 · Apr 26 | Oct 13 · Oct 27 · Nov 8 | 197 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Blair
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Blair, NE come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Blair (station USC00250930, elevation 1,090 ft), 1.0 mi from Blair. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Blair
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fremont, NE | 19 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 15 |
| Omaha, NE | 20 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 18 |
| Ralston, NE | 24 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| La Vista, NE | 25 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Council Bluffs, IA | 25 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 21 |
| Papillion, NE | 27 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Gretna, NE | 29 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Bellevue, NE | 29 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 19 |
| Wahoo, NE | 34 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 15 |
| Plattsmouth, NE | 39 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 11 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Blair?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Blair is around April 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Blair?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 17. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 30 and a 90% chance by October 30.
Can it frost in Blair after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Blair?
Blair is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 68008. See growing zones in Nebraska.
More: all Nebraska frost dates · Nebraska growing zones · frost vs. freeze