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Will it freeze in Surf City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Surf City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 66°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 66°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 57°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Surf City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 26, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Surf City. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 21 · Apr 4 · Apr 20 | Oct 19 · Nov 3 · Nov 18 | 213 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 11 · Mar 26 · Apr 9 | Oct 30 · Nov 13 · Dec 3 | 233 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 23 · Mar 15 · Mar 31 | Nov 7 · Nov 26 · Dec 20 | 258 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Surf City
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Surf City, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Surf City (station USC00318380, elevation 24 ft), 2.4 mi from Surf City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Surf City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Ridge, NC | 4.3 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 13 |
| Jacksonville, NC | 22 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 16 |
| Wilmington, NC | 25 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 20 |
| Leland, NC | 33 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 20 |
| Carolina Beach, NC | 34 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| Boiling Spring Lakes, NC | 42 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| St. James, NC | 47 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| Havelock, NC | 48 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 22 |
| Oak Island, NC | 49 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 17 |
| Morehead City, NC | 50 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 21 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Surf City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Surf City is around March 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 11.
When is the first frost in Surf City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 30 and a 90% chance by December 3.
Can it frost in Surf City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 4.
What growing zone is Surf City?
Surf City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28445. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · frost vs. freeze