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Will it freeze in Statesville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Statesville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance T-storms then Chance Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Statesville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Statesville 2 Nne. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 12 · Apr 28 · May 12 | Oct 4 · Oct 17 · Oct 29 | 171 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 16 · May 1 | Oct 13 · Oct 25 · Nov 5 | 191 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 3 · Apr 17 | Oct 23 · Nov 3 · Nov 18 | 214 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Statesville 2 Nne
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Statesville, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Statesville 2 Nne (station USC00318292, elevation 803 ft), 1.9 mi from Statesville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Statesville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mooresville, NC | 14 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
| Mocksville, NC | 19 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 25 |
| Conover, NC | 20 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 8 |
| Davidson, NC | 21 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Cornelius, NC | 21 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Newton, NC | 22 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 8 |
| Salisbury, NC | 23 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 30 |
| Kannapolis, NC | 24 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Hickory, NC | 25 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 4 |
| Huntersville, NC | 26 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Statesville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Statesville is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 2.
When is the first frost in Statesville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 25. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Statesville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 28.
What growing zone is Statesville?
Statesville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28677. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · UV index today in Statesville · frost vs. freeze