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Will it freeze in Fletcher in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 50°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fletcher
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Asheville Regional Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 7 · Apr 23 · May 9 | Oct 6 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 178 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 22 · Apr 9 · Apr 27 | Oct 14 · Oct 28 · Nov 9 | 201 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 6 · Mar 26 · Apr 10 | Oct 26 · Nov 8 · Nov 24 | 228 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Asheville Regional Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fletcher, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Asheville Regional Airport (station USW00003812, elevation 2,117 ft), 1.7 mi from Fletcher. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fletcher
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mills River, NC | 5.6 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 23 |
| Hendersonville, NC | 8.1 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 25 |
| Asheville, NC | 9.9 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 31 |
| Woodfin, NC | 16 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 31 |
| Black Mountain, NC | 16 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Brevard, NC | 18 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Waynesville, NC | 28 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 14 |
| Travelers Rest, SC | 33 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 20 |
| Marion, NC | 33 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Forest City, NC | 37 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 27 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fletcher?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fletcher is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 22.
When is the first frost in Fletcher?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 14 and a 90% chance by November 9.
Can it frost in Fletcher after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 23.
What growing zone is Fletcher?
Fletcher is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28732. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · frost vs. freeze